3D TVs at top of 'Hype Cycle'

Big surprise, according the 2010 Hype Cycle report 3D TVs have reached record hype levels

The economy isn't the only thing that goes through cycles. Hype, believe it or not, is cyclical, too, according to the analysts at Gartner, who today released their 2010 Hype Cycle report. Technologies closing in on the "Peak of Inflated Expectations" are the 4G wireless standard and 3D flat panel TVs.

Close behind those technologies on the way to the pinnacle of hype are wireless power, media tablets like the iPad, augmented reality, private cloud computing and Internet TV.

Gartner's hype cycle follows five stages. During the "trigger phase" a technology is introduced and hype begins to build around it. Some technologies identified by Gartner at the nascent stages of their hype potential are human augmentation and computer-brain interfaces.

As a technology climbs the hype slope, it reaches the Peak of Inflated Expectations. It's about that time that everyone starts to realize what the technology can really do compared to what the hype promised it could do.

After the hype peaks about a technology, it starts sliding down a slippery slope into the "Trough of Disillusionment." Technologies currently on this slope include cloud computing, gesture recognition, microblogging and, surprisingly, e-book readers. Mired in the trough itself are broadband over power lines, virtual assistants, public virtual worlds and consumer-generated media.

There's no need to be sad for these once much hyped technologies--except for broadband over power lines, which Gartner predicts will be obsolete before having an opportunity to escape from its nadir. There is life for them beyond the trough. There's the "Slope of Enlightenment," where they're rediscovered, in a way. Technologies on this slope include idea management, biometric authentication, Internet micropayment systems and interactive TV.

Where does the Slope of Enlightenment lead? To the Plateau of Productivity and, presumably, a blissful life without hype. Gartner shows only one technology reaching that plateau at the moment: pen-centric tablet PCs, which, by the way, it predicts will be in mainstream adoption in less than two years.

Join the PC World newsletter!

Error: Please check your email address.

Tags lcd hdtvGartnerconsumer electronicsHome Theaterplasma hdtv

Struggling for Christmas presents this year? Check out our Christmas Gift Guide for some top tech suggestions and more.

Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.

John P. Mello Jr.

PC World (US online)

Most Popular Reviews

Follow Us

Best Deals on GoodGearGuide

Shopping.com

Latest News Articles

Resources

GGG Evaluation Team

Kathy Cassidy

STYLISTIC Q702

First impression on unpacking the Q702 test unit was the solid feel and clean, minimalist styling.

Anthony Grifoni

STYLISTIC Q572

For work use, Microsoft Word and Excel programs pre-installed on the device are adequate for preparing short documents.

Steph Mundell

LIFEBOOK UH574

The Fujitsu LifeBook UH574 allowed for great mobility without being obnoxiously heavy or clunky. Its twelve hours of battery life did not disappoint.

Andrew Mitsi

STYLISTIC Q702

The screen was particularly good. It is bright and visible from most angles, however heat is an issue, particularly around the Windows button on the front, and on the back where the battery housing is located.

Simon Harriott

STYLISTIC Q702

My first impression after unboxing the Q702 is that it is a nice looking unit. Styling is somewhat minimalist but very effective. The tablet part, once detached, has a nice weight, and no buttons or switches are located in awkward or intrusive positions.

Latest Jobs

Shopping.com

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?