Analysts warn against early Win 2000 deployment

Always cynical about Microsoft's Windows NT claims, the Gartner Group warned corporate users on Monday to steer clear of the first version of Windows 2000.

Tom Bittman, the analyst house's director of research, opened the organisation's NT in the Enterprise conference with a prediction that although Windows 2000 will have its benefits, it will not be as reliable as NT 4.0 is now. Microsoft will catch up only in following releases, he said.

When Microsoft executives call Windows 2000 "reliable," potential users should view that in comparison to NT 4.0 and the Windows 9x consumer line, not operating systems such as Unix, Linux, or AS/400, Bittman said.

"This is going to be the killer on the first release," Bittman said of Windows 2000's reliability. "The beta program is only going to catch the easy ones."

Bittman also said the skills costs associated with a major project such as deploying Windows 2000 could be daunting. According to Gartner Group, NT-skilled professionals have been seeking raises of some 25 per cent since early 1998, with the option of "walking across the street," he said.

For some time now, the Gartner Group has been telling its customers not to expect Windows 2000 to ship until the first half of 2000. Bittman said Microsoft might indeed meet a release date of October 6 -- which the company has floated in recent weeks -- but it would be only for "bragging rights," because Beta 3 testing began just last week, and would need to be lengthy for such a major product.

"Yes, I know there's an October 6 date. There also was a 1995 date," Bittman said. As early as 1993, Microsoft began talking about releasing a product called "Cairo," which would offer the functionality that eventually became Windows 2000's Active Directory; Cairo's first target release was 1995.

Although Bittman said Windows 2000 would never be "the end-all and be-all," he predicted that in the next few years, it would be an important part of most enterprise architectures. He said that the number of applications written for NT will outpace those for Unix when Windows 2000 is out next year, and said Windows 2000 will go a long way toward addressing NT's scalability problems.

Still, enterprises will adapt Windows 2000 early at their peril, Bittman said. Users should wait for at least the first Windows 2000 service pack, or possibly the first whole-scale upgrade, before deploying it widely, he said.

"If NT 4.0 is a house of sticks, then Windows 2000 is the foundation for a house of bricks," Bittman said.

Join the newsletter!

Error: Please check your email address.
Rocket to Success - Your 10 Tips for Smarter ERP System Selection
Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.

Bob Trott

PC World
Show Comments

Cool Tech

Breitling Superocean Heritage Chronographe 44

Learn more >

SanDisk MicroSDXC™ for Nintendo® Switch™

Learn more >

Toys for Boys

Family Friendly

Panasonic 4K UHD Blu-Ray Player and Full HD Recorder with Netflix - UBT1GL-K

Learn more >

Stocking Stuffer

Razer DeathAdder Expert Ergonomic Gaming Mouse

Learn more >

Christmas Gift Guide

Click for more ›

Most Popular Reviews

Latest Articles


PCW Evaluation Team

Walid Mikhael

Brother QL-820NWB Professional Label Printer

It’s easy to set up, it’s compact and quiet when printing and to top if off, the print quality is excellent. This is hands down the best printer I’ve used for printing labels.

Ben Ramsden

Sharp PN-40TC1 Huddle Board

Brainstorming, innovation, problem solving, and negotiation have all become much more productive and valuable if people can easily collaborate in real time with minimal friction.

Sarah Ieroianni

Brother QL-820NWB Professional Label Printer

The print quality also does not disappoint, it’s clear, bold, doesn’t smudge and the text is perfectly sized.

Ratchada Dunn

Sharp PN-40TC1 Huddle Board

The Huddle Board’s built in program; Sharp Touch Viewing software allows us to easily manipulate and edit our documents (jpegs and PDFs) all at the same time on the dashboard.

George Khoury

Sharp PN-40TC1 Huddle Board

The biggest perks for me would be that it comes with easy to use and comprehensive programs that make the collaboration process a whole lot more intuitive and organic

David Coyle

Brother PocketJet PJ-773 A4 Portable Thermal Printer

I rate the printer as a 5 out of 5 stars as it has been able to fit seamlessly into my busy and mobile lifestyle.

Featured Content

Product Launch Showcase

Latest Jobs

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?