IDC: 2005 PC outlook still growing, but weaker

PC growth is expected to slow in 2005, as compared to previous expectations, and decline further in 2006.

PC shipment growth will slow a little bit more in 2005 than previously expected, as the consumer market catches its breath after the past few years, according to IDC.

The Framingham market research firm now expects worldwide PC shipments to grow 9.7 per cent in 2005, down from IDC's last prediction of 10.1 per cent growth published last November.

If that rate holds, PC vendors will ship 195.4 million units in 2005, valued at US$209 billion.

The weaker forecast for 2005 growth comes as consumers and businesses are coping with factors such as the lackluster performance of the U.S. stock market, high energy prices and rising interest rates, vice-president for client computing at IDC, Roger Kay, said.

Growth should decline further in 2006, to around 8.6 per cent worldwide, IDC said.

Shipment growth was expected to remain above 8 per cent for the rest of the decade, the company said.

Consumer growth has propelled the PC market around the world over the last few years, but consumer purchasing fell behind business activity in most regions during 2004, director of IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker,Loren Loverde, said. Businesses in the U.S. and Asia were now in the midst of a long-awaited replacement cycle, discarding PCs they bought around 1999 and 2000 for new systems, and shipments to business customers would grow faster than consumer shipments in 2005 on a worldwide basis, IDC said.

However, in Western Europe consumers were still the primary driver for 2005 PC shipment growth, especially when looking at the notebook market, IDC said.

The worldwide trends toward stronger business activity and notebook PC adoption would remain the storylines for the PC market in 2005 and beyond, IDC said.

Growth was slowing in mature economies like the US and Western Europe, but was set to expand as PCs became more prevalent in emerging economies in Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the company said.

Join the newsletter!


Sign up to gain exclusive access to email subscriptions, event invitations, competitions, giveaways, and much more.

Membership is free, and your security and privacy remain protected. View our privacy policy before signing up.

Error: Please check your email address.
Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.

Tom Krazit

IDG News Service
Show Comments

Cool Tech

Toys for Boys

Family Friendly

Stocking Stuffer

SmartLens - Clip on Phone Camera Lens Set of 3

Learn more >

Christmas Gift Guide

Click for more ›

Brand Post

Most Popular Reviews

Latest Articles


PCW Evaluation Team

Aysha Strobbe

Microsoft Office 365/HP Spectre x360

Microsoft Office continues to make a student’s life that little bit easier by offering reliable, easy to use, time-saving functionality, while continuing to develop new features that further enhance what is already a formidable collection of applications

Michael Hargreaves

Microsoft Office 365/Dell XPS 15 2-in-1

I’d recommend a Dell XPS 15 2-in-1 and the new Windows 10 to anyone who needs to get serious work done (before you kick back on your couch with your favourite Netflix show.)

Maryellen Rose George

Brother PT-P750W

It’s useful for office tasks as well as pragmatic labelling of equipment and storage – just don’t get too excited and label everything in sight!

Cathy Giles

Brother MFC-L8900CDW

The Brother MFC-L8900CDW is an absolute stand out. I struggle to fault it.

Luke Hill


I need power and lots of it. As a Front End Web developer anything less just won’t cut it which is why the MSI GT75 is an outstanding laptop for me. It’s a sleek and futuristic looking, high quality, beast that has a touch of sci-fi flare about it.

Emily Tyson

MSI GE63 Raider

If you’re looking to invest in your next work horse laptop for work or home use, you can’t go wrong with the MSI GE63.

Featured Content

Product Launch Showcase

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?