IDC raises PC shipment expectations for 2004

While notebook PCs have received all the attention over the last few quarters, desktops aren't dead yet. Faster-than-expected growth of desktops is expected to lift the overall market more than previously thought, according to updated data released by IDC.

Worldwide shipments of PCs are now expected to increase 13.5 per cent for 2004, up from expectations of 11.4 per cent growth released by IDC in March.

In the first quarter, desktop shipments increased 13.4 per cent as compared to the first quarter of 2003. The category grew only 9.4 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2003, compared to the previous year's fourth quarter.

The fourth quarter is considered the strongest period for PC shipments, while the first quarter is historically much slower.

Desktop PCs account for more than 70 per cent of all PC shipments worldwide, IDC said. Any notable increase in shipment growth for desktops would have a substantial effect on the overall market.

As business customers started buying PCs in greater numbers, they were choosing desktops more than IDC had expected, director of IDC's worldwide quarterly PC tracker, Loren Loverde, said.

The strong growth in notebooks over the second half of 2003 had led many analysts to predict businesses would replace their aging desktops with notebooks, but cost pressures continue to affect business PC purchases, he said.

Notebook PCs are generally more expensive that comparable desktop PCs.

Notebook growth was still strong at 28.5 per cent in the first quarter, IDC said. But notebooks grew at a 35 per cent clip in the second half of 2003, showing that buyers were becoming more price sensitive and selective when it came to notebook PCs, IDC said.

Businesses are buying notebooks, but they are selectively rolling them out to their users rather than opting for a wholesale replacement of their desktop infrastructure, Loverde said.

Western Europe and Asia-Pacific are expected to lead the growth around the world throughout 2004 as those regions begin to replace aging PCs.

That replacement cycle had already begun in the US, but should remain strong during the rest of the year, IDC said.

The value of PC shipments is also expected to grow in 2004, but at a slower rate as the industry continues to mature. Total shipment value for 2004 is expected to be $US194.5 billion, an increase of 9.2 per cent from 2003.

Join the newsletter!

Error: Please check your email address.
Rocket to Success - Your 10 Tips for Smarter ERP System Selection
Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.

Tom Krazit

IDG News Service
Show Comments

Cool Tech

SanDisk MicroSDXC™ for Nintendo® Switch™

Learn more >

Breitling Superocean Heritage Chronographe 44

Learn more >

Toys for Boys

Family Friendly

Panasonic 4K UHD Blu-Ray Player and Full HD Recorder with Netflix - UBT1GL-K

Learn more >

Stocking Stuffer

Razer DeathAdder Expert Ergonomic Gaming Mouse

Learn more >

Christmas Gift Guide

Click for more ›

Most Popular Reviews

Latest Articles

Resources

PCW Evaluation Team

Walid Mikhael

Brother QL-820NWB Professional Label Printer

It’s easy to set up, it’s compact and quiet when printing and to top if off, the print quality is excellent. This is hands down the best printer I’ve used for printing labels.

Ben Ramsden

Sharp PN-40TC1 Huddle Board

Brainstorming, innovation, problem solving, and negotiation have all become much more productive and valuable if people can easily collaborate in real time with minimal friction.

Sarah Ieroianni

Brother QL-820NWB Professional Label Printer

The print quality also does not disappoint, it’s clear, bold, doesn’t smudge and the text is perfectly sized.

Ratchada Dunn

Sharp PN-40TC1 Huddle Board

The Huddle Board’s built in program; Sharp Touch Viewing software allows us to easily manipulate and edit our documents (jpegs and PDFs) all at the same time on the dashboard.

George Khoury

Sharp PN-40TC1 Huddle Board

The biggest perks for me would be that it comes with easy to use and comprehensive programs that make the collaboration process a whole lot more intuitive and organic

David Coyle

Brother PocketJet PJ-773 A4 Portable Thermal Printer

I rate the printer as a 5 out of 5 stars as it has been able to fit seamlessly into my busy and mobile lifestyle.

Featured Content

Product Launch Showcase

Latest Jobs

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?