Security: What will be hot in 2008?

In the murky milky swirls within my USB connected iCrystalBall I see the following developments in security in 2008:

There are two ways to predict the future with 100% accuracy. You either have the power to shape the future to your predictions (the God method) or you make your predictions vague enough so that they fit most conceivable outcomes (the Nostradamus method). For those of us without omnipotence and with a desire to write something meaningful, that leaves the alternative: extrapolate from in-depth research, solid statistics and current trends and hope for minimum volatility (disruptive innovation or externalities) in the outcome. That will not get 100%, but even 90% is still extremely valuable. In January 2009 I will revisit these predictions and honestly assess my crystal-ball gazing.

In the murky milky swirls within my USB connected iCrystalBall I see the following developments in security in 2008:

  • Accelerating enterprise adoption of mobile platforms leads to more security threats on mobile devices. With carriers, device vendors and mobile operating systems opening up there will be more rich applications on the horizon with the concomitant security concerns. I expect to see more start-ups in the mobile security space developing software solutions around encryption and authentication for phones, PDAs and so on. I also expect mobile carriers to increase investment in R&D and marketing around mobile security.
  • Hard drive encryption on the desktop continues, and spreads to data center. In 2007 encryption of laptop hard drives was funded in more than a fifth of participants in our security research. I expect this trend to accelerate with the introduction of more hard disks with built-in encryption and Trusted Platform Module capabilities. I also expect hard drive encryption to start moving into the server and data center markets as companies adjust to compliance mandates and increased instances of identity theft from corporate databases. Expect encrypted drive technology to roll into server and storage lines from more vendors, and for unit sales to rise steadily.
  • Network access control (NAC) sales will continue to fall short of the hype. Appliance-based NAC deployments will continue to grow in a steady but not spectacular fashion. Meanwhile, infrastructure NAC or "forklift NAC" will continue to underwhelm customers through lack of interoperability and high cost of deployment.
  • Carrier and ISP-based managed security services for small and midsize businesses (SMB) multiply and spread in the face of burgeoning demand. SMBs lack the skills but need the security and will increasingly outsource security functions ranging from "clean pipe" firewall and anti-distributed denial of service, to spam-virus-malware filtering to specialists.
  • The identity theft market is making more than US$100 million in profits in 2007, making them equivalent to No. 3 in profits in the security market. In 2008 the black market profits will surpass those of the top three security pure-play companies, fueled by companies not reporting breaches to law enforcement.
  • Virtualization-based compartmentalization of laptops and desktops for security reasons will accelerate. Companies will deploy secured virtual machines as corporate sandboxes on desktops and laptops as a way to control configurations and contain applications and data, using technology from VMware, Citrix, Parallels, Kidaro and others.
I hope you enjoy your holidays. May you find much success in 2008 and beyond. The first year of Risk and Reward has been a tremendous honor and pleasure for me and I thank you for your readership and feedback.

Join the newsletter!


Sign up to gain exclusive access to email subscriptions, event invitations, competitions, giveaways, and much more.

Membership is free, and your security and privacy remain protected. View our privacy policy before signing up.

Error: Please check your email address.
Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.

Andreas M. Antonopoulos

Network World
Show Comments

Most Popular Reviews

Latest Articles


PCW Evaluation Team

Tom Pope

Dynabook Portégé X30L-G

Ultimately this laptop has achieved everything I would hope for in a laptop for work, while fitting that into a form factor and weight that is remarkable.

Tom Sellers


This smart laptop was enjoyable to use and great to work on – creating content was super simple.

Lolita Wang


It really doesn’t get more “gaming laptop” than this.

Jack Jeffries


As the Maserati or BMW of laptops, it would fit perfectly in the hands of a professional needing firepower under the hood, sophistication and class on the surface, and gaming prowess (sports mode if you will) in between.

Taylor Carr


The MSI PS63 is an amazing laptop and I would definitely consider buying one in the future.

Christopher Low

Brother RJ-4230B

This small mobile printer is exactly what I need for invoicing and other jobs such as sending fellow tradesman details or step-by-step instructions that I can easily print off from my phone or the Web.

Featured Content

Product Launch Showcase

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?