Economy hits developer growth projections

Analyst revises numbers downward in light of sour conditions, with recovery to original projections not expected until 2012

Population growth figures for software developers have been revised downward by an analyst firm because of the current state of the economy.

The recently published Evans Data 2009 Global Developer Population and Demographics Study found that the population trend in 2009 will represent a break from previous projections, the company said. This is the first time in the more than four year that Evans has been doing the report that it lowered projections.

"[For] 2009, we had estimated previously that there would be about 15.2 million developers [worldwide]," said Evans CEO John Andrews on Monday afternoon. "We revised that estimate down by about 600,000."

Still, the number of developers is growing, albeit at a lower rate. Evans earlier had expected growth to be 7.4 percent this year. "In our new forecast, we're expecting [growth to be] 4.3 percent," Andrews said.

Figures are based on a variety of sources accessed by Evans, such as developer census information and  IT and communications spending rates. Evans also surveys developers to gain a demographic profile.

A measure of recovery is projected for 2010 and 2011, but full recovery prior to forecasted levels is not expected until 2012.

Most notable effects of the economic downturn can be seen in industrialized economies in places, such as North America, Japan, and western Europe, with growth projections reduced 78 percent. The impact on the rest of the world will be less severe but there still is a decrease of 35 percent from last year's forecast.

Meanwhile, the developer population of India and China is expected to grow 22 percent from 2009 to 2001. The Europe-Middle East-Africa regional has the largest developer population, with 5.6 million, according to the study. Fifteen countries comprise more than two-thirds of the global developer population.

Join the newsletter!

Or

Sign up to gain exclusive access to email subscriptions, event invitations, competitions, giveaways, and much more.

Membership is free, and your security and privacy remain protected. View our privacy policy before signing up.

Error: Please check your email address.

Tags careerssoftware development

Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.

Paul Krill

InfoWorld
Show Comments

Cool Tech

Toys for Boys

Family Friendly

Stocking Stuffer

SmartLens - Clip on Phone Camera Lens Set of 3

Learn more >

Christmas Gift Guide

Click for more ›

Brand Post

Most Popular Reviews

Latest Articles

Resources

PCW Evaluation Team

Michael Hargreaves

Microsoft Office 365/Dell XPS 15 2-in-1

I’d recommend a Dell XPS 15 2-in-1 and the new Windows 10 to anyone who needs to get serious work done (before you kick back on your couch with your favourite Netflix show.)

Maryellen Rose George

Brother PT-P750W

It’s useful for office tasks as well as pragmatic labelling of equipment and storage – just don’t get too excited and label everything in sight!

Cathy Giles

Brother MFC-L8900CDW

The Brother MFC-L8900CDW is an absolute stand out. I struggle to fault it.

Luke Hill

MSI GT75 TITAN

I need power and lots of it. As a Front End Web developer anything less just won’t cut it which is why the MSI GT75 is an outstanding laptop for me. It’s a sleek and futuristic looking, high quality, beast that has a touch of sci-fi flare about it.

Emily Tyson

MSI GE63 Raider

If you’re looking to invest in your next work horse laptop for work or home use, you can’t go wrong with the MSI GE63.

Laura Johnston

MSI GS65 Stealth Thin

If you can afford the price tag, it is well worth the money. It out performs any other laptop I have tried for gaming, and the transportable design and incredible display also make it ideal for work.

Featured Content

Product Launch Showcase

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?