Nvidia CEO predicts 570x performance increase in 3 years

Nvidia predicts 570-fold increase in GPU processing power

Nvidia CEO Jen-Hsun Huang predicted a whopping 570-fold increase in GPU Compute performance over the next three years, while traditional CPU would merely triple in processing power during that time, according to TG Daily. Huang made his claims during his keynote at the Hot Chips symposium. What could you use such power for? Huang suggests that this massive performance increase could power applications like language translation and augmented reality, in addition to bolstering traditional GPU Compute applications like Oil and Natural Gas exploration, ray tracing, and so forth.

His comment probably needs further explanation and clarification, which we don't have at this time. First, don't expect frame rates in games to get 570 times faster in three years. Huang is talking about general computation applications on the GPU, not traditional graphics acceleration.

Second, let's talk about that 570x number. A GeForce GTX 285 -- the fastest single GPU Nvidia sells -- is a nearly 500-square-millimeter chip that delivers just barely more than one teraflop. In three years, GPU technology will be basically two, maybe three, architectural generations ahead of where it stands today. The chip used in the GeForce GTX 285 is made with a 55-nanometer manufacturing process -- the cutting edge in GPUs today is 40nm. In three years we'll be at around 22nm -- maybe some sort of 20nm or 18nm half-node type process. From a pure transistor density standpoint, you're only going to get about eight times the transistors on a chip three years from now as you do in a 55nm chip today.

So how do you get a 570x performance increase out of that? I don't know. The stream processing units in GPUs are one of the denser parts of the die, so you might pack in well more than 8 times the processing units responsible for GPU Compute number crunching, but you won't get anywhere near 100x, let alone 570x. Memory bandwidth won't increase by that amount, either.

I think it's likely that Huang is taking into account advances in the flexibility and programmability of future GPU architectures. Support for better flow control, bigger and more robust caches, and lots of other things coming in future GPUs will help developers utilize all the teraflops available to them; it's hard to get anywhere near the theoretical maximum performance out of a GPU today in non-graphics applications. Even so, 570x sounds well beyond what I would expect, and there's probably some missing context -- maybe Huang was talking about servers using arrays of GPUs being 570x faster than today's CPU-based servers, or something similar?

Join the newsletter!

Or

Sign up to gain exclusive access to email subscriptions, event invitations, competitions, giveaways, and much more.

Membership is free, and your security and privacy remain protected. View our privacy policy before signing up.

Error: Please check your email address.
Keep up with the latest tech news, reviews and previews by subscribing to the Good Gear Guide newsletter.
Jason Cross

Jason Cross

PC World (US online)
Show Comments

Cool Tech

Toys for Boys

Family Friendly

Stocking Stuffer

SmartLens - Clip on Phone Camera Lens Set of 3

Learn more >

Christmas Gift Guide

Click for more ›

Brand Post

Most Popular Reviews

Latest Articles

Resources

PCW Evaluation Team

Aysha Strobbe

Microsoft Office 365/HP Spectre x360

Microsoft Office continues to make a student’s life that little bit easier by offering reliable, easy to use, time-saving functionality, while continuing to develop new features that further enhance what is already a formidable collection of applications

Michael Hargreaves

Microsoft Office 365/Dell XPS 15 2-in-1

I’d recommend a Dell XPS 15 2-in-1 and the new Windows 10 to anyone who needs to get serious work done (before you kick back on your couch with your favourite Netflix show.)

Maryellen Rose George

Brother PT-P750W

It’s useful for office tasks as well as pragmatic labelling of equipment and storage – just don’t get too excited and label everything in sight!

Cathy Giles

Brother MFC-L8900CDW

The Brother MFC-L8900CDW is an absolute stand out. I struggle to fault it.

Luke Hill

MSI GT75 TITAN

I need power and lots of it. As a Front End Web developer anything less just won’t cut it which is why the MSI GT75 is an outstanding laptop for me. It’s a sleek and futuristic looking, high quality, beast that has a touch of sci-fi flare about it.

Emily Tyson

MSI GE63 Raider

If you’re looking to invest in your next work horse laptop for work or home use, you can’t go wrong with the MSI GE63.

Featured Content

Product Launch Showcase

Don’t have an account? Sign up here

Don't have an account? Sign up now

Forgot password?